Recently, Premier Wen Jiabao of the State Council pointed out that it is necessary to focus on the automobile, steel, shipbuilding, cement and other industries, control the increment, optimize the stock, promote mergers and acquisitions, and increase industrial concentration and economies of scale. It is widely expected in the industry that the threshold of China's autos will increase in the future, and the auto-certification certificate will be hard to find. The current auto companies will collectively usher in a round of reshuffle.
Overcapacity is the reason why the auto industry is listed on the regulatory list. From 2009 to 2011, China has become the world's largest market for auto sales for three consecutive years, and multinational automakers have accelerated their pace of expansion. According to statistics, in 2015, China's four major automobile groups - SAIC, FAW, Dongfeng, Changan - have a total capacity planning of more than 21 million vehicles, and the top 12 companies in the sales volume have a total capacity planning of 40.4 million. Li Weidou, general manager of China FAW Group Import and Export Corporation, said that in 2011, China’s total car sales volume was about 18.5 million. In 2015, China’s auto market capacity was around 25 million. Compared with the capacity planning of more than 40 million vehicles, the automotive industry’s production capacity. The risk of excess is increasing.
According to a report, the utilization rate of China's automakers' extreme production capacity (taking into account the maximum capacity of production lines after overtime) is not high, and many automakers already have overcapacity. According to survey data from 22 narrow passenger vehicle manufacturers in the country, its total output in 2011 was 10.27 million, accounting for 84% of the national narrow passenger vehicle production (12.25 million). In 2011, the ultimate capacity utilization rate of passenger cars was 78.5%, of which the maximum capacity utilization rate of joint venture passenger car enterprises was 84.6%, and that of independent brands was 60.2%.
And once China set off the winds of automobile production and control in 2012, the multinational automakers who are still outside the door will have no choice but to “lifeâ€. According to China's current policy, the automobile complete vehicle project must be settled in China and must meet the relevant conditions and obtain a car permit. A number of car executives said that car licenses will become more and more difficult.
The industry expects that the three major vehicle joint venture projects will be affected by regulation. First, Jaguar Land Rover intends to form a joint venture with Chery Automobile Co., with a total investment of 17.5 billion yuan. The factory is located in Changshu, Jiangsu. According to the joint venture plan, it is estimated that the first car will be off the assembly line in mid-2014. The production capacity will reach 80,000 at the end of 2015, with an output value of 40 billion yuan. After completion in 2018, the total annual production capacity will reach 180,000 units. Second, Chery Automobile and Japan The Subaru negotiations, the two sides intend to invest 2.4 billion to establish a joint venture in Dalian, the production of Subaru models in China before 2016; Third, Mazda will form a joint venture company Changan Mazda in China after a single flight. At that time, Mazda will no longer be attached to Changan Ford Mazda. To this end, Changan Automobile Group once hoped to exchange Changan Mazda's birth permit for the “Changhe Automobile's Qualified Qualificationâ€, but it was impossible to make a trip due to the Changhe Automobile shutdown.
When the car was included in the incremental control list, the major car companies applying for the joint venture permit were more nervous. A car company executive said that China is the world's largest auto market. If you miss the opportunity of localization expansion because you can't settle down, your future competitiveness will be greatly affected.
"Car eye" to see two sessions
"Two sessions" is the focus of the whole people's attention, and for the automotive industry, facing the low growth rate of 2.5% of sales in 2011, facing the end of the decade of high growth in the Chinese auto market, facing the Chinese auto industry The new round of adjustments that have already entered, the "two sessions" are both the export of opinions and speech, and the place where the answer may be sought.
With the help of the "two sessions" platform, representatives of the automotive industry across the country have submitted proposals and proposals related to the automotive industry, covering almost all aspects of the Chinese automotive industry. They are at the forefront of the automotive industry and reflect the most practical problem. We pay attention to the questions they ask and pay more attention to the answers to these questions.
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